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andyswan

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    You were saying? started by andyswan
    It HAD to happen.
    We go higher started by andyswan
    There, I said it.  Now go on with your Dow 3500 parties.
    SHARE your ideas (they are worth $0.0083333 each anyway) started by andyswan
    There are a couple other reasons that I really like taking ideas public….for entrepreneurs especially:

    1. You mentally devalue the “secrecy” of an idea. It is a tough leap for many….but soon it’s quite clear that ideas are a dime a dozen and improve with early & often feedback

    2. You put yourself into [...]
    4 Steps to being REALLY BAD at anything started by andyswan
    1.  Get a great “idea”

    2.  Build excitement for your idea to extreme “it’s the only thing I think about” levels

    3.  Experience your first set of disappointments, reasonable criticisms or hurdles

    4.  Bail on the idea

    Repeat until dead.
    10 Startup Commandments started by andyswan
    1. Establish and grow RELATIONSHIPS

    “Contacts” are not nearly as valuable as you think. Relationships are the key.  People who trust you and like you are very likely to help you.  In addition, they are very likely to induce their own relationships to help you.

    Develop relationships BEFORE you need them.  Do this by GIVING first [...]
    Startup Ideas, $0.00833333333 each started by andyswan
    Flying car that gets 250 mpg and costs less than $40k

    Search Engine with more relevant results than Google

    Cold fusion energy-producing reactor (prefer lightbulb size or smaller)

    “roomba” for home-building….just set out materials and upload blueprints, it does the rest

    tivo for radio

    transporter…star-trek
    Market Role Call started by andyswan
    Those of you following my mytrade and twitter feeds should have had an amazing week in the market.  With the market set to step of the ledge tomorrow, my FAZ trade will end the week in legendary position, up from an entry in the 38’s on Monday to a likely mid to high 50’s tomorrow.  [...]
    Congratulations to the UAW started by andyswan
    You “won”.
    Christmas Time….and yes, it’s up! started by andyswan
    This is the fullness and glory of the Swan household Christmas decorations. Center of the front window, an absolute beauty from the street. Why, it’s a major award!
    And yes, you’re seeing it right….below the soft glow of electric sex gleaming in the window lies an original Red Ryder carbine action two-hundred shot range [...]
    Friday stock market thoughts…. started by andyswan
    The stock market took some extremely bad news in stride today.

    It’s possible that armageddon is already priced in.

    GOOD news could put 10-20% on this market in a matter of weeks.

    I like buying stocks here and selling call options against the position to generate income, precisely because stocks are low and options are expensive right now.

    The [...]
    Speech Notes for Today started by andyswan
    Thought I’d share with you my notes for my speech today at the Louisville Venture Club.  I will expand on these points in this post later tonight….but regular readers and friends will know what I’m talking about with each:

    1) Relationships ….NOT Rolodex

    2) Brian Jennings

    3) Burn the Ships

    4) Nick
    Startup thought: Make a profit with your FIRST customer started by andyswan
    Now is a good time to start a company that sells directly to the consumer.

    You need to learn how to make your product so valuable that people will buy it even when they are cutting back on other things.

    There is no such thing as a market environment where people are unwilling to buy products/services that [...]
    Cushion established…lighten up leverage & do less started by andyswan
    OK, let’s face it.  Paulson himself did not know more than I did about how the Citi deal would go down and how C shareholders would be rewarded….which is why I loaded up on the stock Friday afternoon.

    How did I know this?  Simple…the SHORT trade was waaaaay too crowded with idiots. Reading through twitters and [...]
    Citigroup, inc (NYSE: C) to resume “let’s make a deal” Sundays started by andyswan
    Within 3 days.

    Newly processed government candy will be their reward for busting the market pinata.

    In fact, I will go so far as to say that if Citigroup does not “make a deal” by the open of business on Monday, I will drink begger’s bourbon (instead of my new usual) for a minimum of three days.
    I was wrong started by andyswan
    But I still maintain that I am correct.

    Andy Swan, 2008
    What do YOU want to know about entrepreneurship/angel investing? started by andyswan
    On Dec 3 I will be the featured speaker at the Louisville Venture Club.

    Are there any topics that you, as an aspiring entrepreneur or angel investor would be most interested in hearing my take on?

    Even if you aren’t going to be there, which I suspect 99% of this blog’s readers will not….please let me know [...]
    Why bear markets make me less likely to invest in your startup started by andyswan
    First of all, I have less money. This one is obvious and cannot be underestimated.  Have the respect to understand that someone with “excess cash” typically likes having MORE “excess cash”, not less of it.

    What under-capitalized people don’t understand is that this is purely psychology. “More than enough”
    Take a DEEEEEEEEEEP breath started by andyswan
    I believe that there are three types of markets:
    A market where buyers have the advantage

    A market where traders have the advantage

    A market where sellers have the advantage
    Right now, we are in a market where the buyers have the advantage.  I say this because it is literally acceptable to bid 10% under any given stock and [...]
    Finally…. started by andyswan
    Someone gets it.

    Watch shorts scramble for cover, effectively moving me from a “backed into the corner with only a nail file as a weapon” position into a “in an unknown elevated location with multiple sniper rifles picking off bears” position.

    It is only through taking a stand of this magnitude can leaders be born.

    Fail to follow [...]
    Hide? started by andyswan
    Right now one wants to own anything

    House?  No thanks, just rent.

    Car?  Laughable.

    Stocks?  What’s the point?  Depression coming

    Gold?  Deflation’s gonna kill it.

    Bonds?  Wouldn’t loan money to the pope.

    NOTHING.

    Everyone just wants to go take their little scraps and hide in the
    R.I.P. GREEN hype. Hello EFFICIENT reality started by andyswan
    It’s been several years of green HYPE.  But here is the reality:
    Fluctuations in the Sun’s output causes “climate change”.  That’s why there was a freakin glacier over Chicago 10k years ago and why “global warming” is happening on other planets that don’t have SUV’s.  Oh, ya….that’s
    I’m going long GOLD started by andyswan
    I’m not sure why honestly…it just FEELS right.

    I don’t get these kinds of feelings often, but when I do they usually produce big results (after an initial period of figuring out that I was TOO EARLY as always!).

    Buying slowly into 2x leveraged positions (via DGP and other instruments).  I expect a 50-75% return within the [...]
    FOREsight is 20/20….if you pay attention to it. started by andyswan
    Apparently, 200 years ago there were a few guys with foresight that understand the timeless truths of LIBERTY.

    Luckily, they wrote our Constitution with a specific amendment that said “if we didn’t spell out that the Federal Government has the power…it DOES NOT!!!!”

    UNfortunately, NO ONE pays attention to that, and somehow the Congress is able to [...]
    Election note started by andyswan
    You can do anything you want.  There is no limit to where you can rise, no matter where you come from or what you look like…..

    ….and ONLY YOU are responsible for making that happen.

    You live in a Country that allows its citizens to choose their own leaders, and transitions of power are PEACEFUL, orderly and [...]
    Some stocks are going on sale started by andyswan
    1.  Funds are liquidating, which means they are hitting the bid, selling at whatever price is available.  There is no thought to this, it is a liquidation.

    2.  There are no shorts that have to cover, so no one can “lock in a profit” by buying here…thanks to the dumbass reactionary rule of “no shorting financial [...]
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